John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM

2026-05-03 – 2026-05-16 · Ozone Park, NY

Belmont at The Big A

2026-spring

Transparency · TIGHT-tier shape only

How the model's most-likely-to-cash structure cashed at Belmont at The Big A

12 of 23 races settled

For every TIGHT-shape race, we settled the model's most-likely-to-cash trifecta structure at $1 per combo against the official chart. This is pari-mutuel transparency — not a recommendation to play it. Walk-forward backtests show the takeout floor is too steep to clear at this data scale; the model is useful as a tipsheet, not as automated betting.

No TIGHT-shape races have settled yet for this meet.

Cards by day

Top value plays at BIG A

Click a horse for details

Horse Race Post Tri Hit % ML Our ITM Edge
PENTATHLON 05-03 R7 4:15 PASS 8.0-1 63.6% +35.3%
QUINT'S BREW 05-03 R7 4:15 PASS 4.0-1 80.0% +29.0%
MY MAGIC WAND 05-03 R10 5:48 8.5% 15-1 41.9% +25.9%
MILES AHEAD 05-03 R1 1:10 PASS 6.0-1 61.1% +24.7%
GOLDEN PLATE 05-03 R3 2:11 10.3% 6.0-1 44.0% +24.3%
WHAT'S UP BRO 05-03 R6 3:44 10.9% 20-1 35.2% +23.1%
SALT PRINCESS 05-03 R9 5:17 11.5% 8.0-1 51.2% +22.9%
SHOOT THE NICKEL 05-03 R2 1:40 PASS 5.0-1 64.5% +22.0%
DREAMBUILDER 05-03 R4 2:42 10.5% 12-1 40.3% +20.7%
BABY MEANIE 05-16 R5 3:15 PASS 20-1 30.6% +18.4%