Sun, May 3
Race 1
Clm 62500
Post: 1:10 · 1m · Dirt · $75K purse · 5 runners · LIVE Trifecta math uses live odds for 5 of 5 runners
New — Ask Claude Opus about this race Why a horse rates the way it does, what the trifecta ticket means, where the public might be wrong.Pace shape
5 runnersContested pace
4 early types — pace should be honest but not crazy. No strong style bias.
Projected speed
- #4 UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL (E, QSP 8)
- #3 CASTLE CHAOS (EP, QSP 6)
- #2 MILES AHEAD (EP, QSP 5)
- #6 ELIMINATE (EP, QSP 2)
Trifecta shape
Wide openLottery shape — low hit rates, larger payouts when they cash. Entertainment-only; the model is not confident in any structure.
Field too small for a trifecta
Field
↳ Click any horse name for the per-horse breakdown (last-10-races chart, SHAP feature contributions, full PP table).
| PP | Horse | ML | Pred Close | Live | Pred Fig | Win | ITM% ↓ | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | EUNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL | 2.5-1 | 2.7-1 | ↓1.8-1 | 86.7 | 25% | 71% | ▼-20% |
| 6 | EPELIMINATE | 3.0-1 | 3.0-1 | ↓1.8-1 | 86.3 | 23% | 68% | ▼-24% |
| 3 | EPCASTLE CHAOS | 4.5-1 | 6.0-1 | ↓3.0-1 | 86.5 | 22% | 65% | ·+1% |
| 2 | EPMILES AHEAD | 6.0-1 | 8.8-1 | ·6.0-1 | 85.3 | 20% | 61% | ▲+25% |
| 1 | PTHREE TECHNIQUE | 20-1 | 40-1 | ↓6.0-1 | 79.5 | 10% | 35% | ·-1% |
| 5 | SCREPRANGER BATTALION | 1.8-1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sort the table by clicking column headers. Edge = our predicted ITM% minus the public-implied ITM% (live odds when present, ML otherwise); green ▲ ≥ +5pp, red ▼ ≤ −5pp. Live column: ↓ green = ≥25% shorter than ML (money horse); ↑ red = ≥25% longer (drifting). See How to Use for the math.
Ask Claude Opus
Questions about the model's predictions for Race 1 · Sun, May 3 · Belmont at The Big A. Powered by Claude Opus 4.7.
Ask anything about the field, the trifecta ticket, or why the model rates a horse the way it does.
Limited to 30 questions per day per visitor. Answers are model-generated and may be incorrect — not betting advice.