2026-05-03 – 2026-05-03 · Hallandale Beach, FL
Gulfstream Park
2026-spring
Transparency · TIGHT-tier shape only
How the model's most-likely-to-cash structure cashed at Gulfstream Park
For every TIGHT-shape race, we settled the model's most-likely-to-cash trifecta structure at $1 per combo against the official chart. This is pari-mutuel transparency — not a recommendation to play it. Walk-forward backtests show the takeout floor is too steep to clear at this data scale; the model is useful as a tipsheet, not as automated betting.
Net result
−$12.00
return on $1/combo: -100.0%
Combos staked
$12.00
2 structures
Returned
$0.00
0 cashed
Cash rate
0%
0 / 2
Per-day P&L if blindly played
Settled at $1 per combo against XRD official-chart payouts (per $2 base, normalized). Honest transparency, not a betting recommendation — see About for the walk-forward methodology and why we don't claim +EV.
Cards by day
Top value plays at GP
↳ Click a horse for details
| Horse | Race | Post | Tri Hit % | ML | Our ITM | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAR TO REMEMBER → | 05-03 R7 | 4:04 | PASS | 6.0-1 | 73.4% | +36.9% |
| GEAUX AMY → | 05-03 R3 | 1:53 | PASS | 20-1 | 43.4% | +31.2% |
| WHIRLAWAR → | 05-03 R8 | 4:35 | 7.1% | 20-1 | 41.9% | +29.8% |
| EXCUSES → | 05-03 R5 | 2:57 | 7.2% | 10-1 | 46.7% | +23.6% |
| MESSAGE OF HOPE → | 05-03 R5 | 2:57 | 7.2% | 8.0-1 | 51.7% | +23.4% |
| A MOMENT A LOVE → | 05-03 R6 | 3:31 | 8.9% | 12-1 | 42.2% | +22.6% |
| PLAYFUL PAL → | 05-03 R2 | 1:21 | 18.8% | 8.0-1 | 52.3% | +20.4% |
| SLICEAWAY → | 05-03 R8 | 4:35 | 7.1% | 8.0-1 | 46.8% | +18.5% |
| JUSTIFIED GIFT → | 05-03 R8 | 4:35 | 7.1% | 8.0-1 | 46.7% | +18.3% |
| LOMAX → | 05-03 R5 | 2:57 | 7.2% | 6.0-1 | 53.6% | +17.1% |