Derby 2026
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PP 2

BUTTERCREAM BABE

M '21 · TWIRLING CANDY × RUNWAY READY

Trainer: ARNOLD GEORGE R II · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

89.2

Speed fig

27.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.01
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.61
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.56
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.44
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.23
  • Class Par Trend -0.23
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.18
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.17
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 5.5f Turf 1 1.3 89 Tracked 3-4p;split 1/8
2025-09-07 KD 7f Turf 4 7.0 80 87 Off slw;4w trn;flattnd
2025-07-06 ELP 1m Turf 3 1.0 91 87 2p;4p3/16;rally;willng
2025-04-25 KEE 1m Turf 7 5.5 88 Brushed/crowded st;ins
2024-10-25 KEE 1m Turf 3 1.5 86 89 2wbtw;chck3/8;4p;stayd
2024-09-07 KD 6.5f Turf 6 3.0 88 90 Off slow;tug 5w;faded
2024-08-02 SAR 1m Turf 3 0.5 85 93 4w upper; missed
2024-07-13 IND 1m Turf 2 1.0 85 82 Bmp;rallied late btw
2024-06-08 SAR 1m Turf 1 1.3 88 82 Bumped st; edged away
2024-04-05 KEE 6.5f Dirt 7 19.8 63 86 Bump;5-4w;wknd;left ld