Sat, May 16
Race 4
SkipatL125k
Post: 12:16 · 6f · Dirt · $125K purse · 5 runners
New — Ask Claude Opus about this race Why a horse rates the way it does, what the trifecta ticket means, where the public might be wrong.Pace shape
5 runnersContested pace
4 early types — pace should be honest but not crazy. No strong style bias.
Projected speed
- #7 MODO (E, QSP 8)
- #3 KAPPA KAPPA (E, QSP 8)
- #1 STRIKER HAS DIAL (E, QSP 7)
- #4 BENEDETTA (EP, QSP 3)
Trifecta shape
Wide openLottery shape — low hit rates, larger payouts when they cash. Entertainment-only; the model is not confident in any structure.
Field too small for a trifecta
Field
↳ Click any horse name for the per-horse breakdown (last-10-races chart, SHAP feature contributions, full PP table).
| PP | Horse | ML | Pred Close | Pred Fig | Win | ITM% ↓ | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PPASSAGE EAST | 3.0-1 | 2.8-1 | 91.8 | 27% | 73% | ▲+9% |
| 7 | EMODO | 1.8-1 | 1.7-1 | 90.4 | 21% | 63% | ▼-28% |
| 1 | ESTRIKER HAS DIAL | 8.0-1 | 8.3-1 | 88.6 | 19% | 59% | ▲+31% |
| 3 | EKAPPA KAPPA | 2.5-1 | 2.6-1 | 89.1 | 18% | 58% | ▼-15% |
| 4 | EPBENEDETTA | 8.0-1 | 9.7-1 | 86.7 | 14% | 46% | ▲+18% |
| 5 | SCREPSPORTING LADY | 12-1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | SCREPCOMPLEXITY JANE | 12-1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Sort the table by clicking column headers. Edge = our predicted ITM% minus the public-implied ITM% (live odds when present, ML otherwise); green ▲ ≥ +5pp, red ▼ ≤ −5pp. See How to Use for the math.
Ask Claude Opus
Questions about the model's predictions for Race 4 · Sat, May 16 · Laurel Park. Powered by Claude Opus 4.7.
Ask anything about the field, the trifecta ticket, or why the model rates a horse the way it does.
Limited to 30 questions per day per visitor. Answers are model-generated and may be incorrect — not betting advice.