Sat, May 16
Race 10
DinnrPty-G3
Post: 4:11 · 1.13m · Turf · $250K purse · 5 runners
New — Ask Claude Opus about this race Why a horse rates the way it does, what the trifecta ticket means, where the public might be wrong.Pace shape
5 runnersSoft pace
Only one early type; pace likely slow, helps anyone close to the leader.
Projected speed
- #3 CRUISE THE NILE (EP, QSP 5)
Trifecta shape
Wide openLottery shape — low hit rates, larger payouts when they cash. Entertainment-only; the model is not confident in any structure.
Field too small for a trifecta
Field
↳ Click any horse name for the per-horse breakdown (last-10-races chart, SHAP feature contributions, full PP table).
| PP | Horse | ML | Pred Close | Pred Fig | Win | ITM% ↓ | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | EPCRUISE THE NILE | 1.8-1 | 1.2-1 | 91.9 | 29% | 75% | ▼-16% |
| 4 | SFORT WASHINGTON | 3.5-1 | 3.7-1 | 92.7 | 22% | 65% | ▲+9% |
| 7 | SHARROW | 12-1 | 15-1 | 91.0 | 20% | 62% | ▲+42% |
| 1 | PWHAT SAY THEE | 15-1 | 20-1 | 87.7 | 15% | 51% | ▲+35% |
| 5 | SA BOURBON FOR TOBY | 12-1 | 18-1 | 87.3 | 14% | 47% | ▲+27% |
| 2 | SCREPTHUNDERING | 15-1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | SCREPDRESDEN ROW | 1.4-1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Sort the table by clicking column headers. Edge = our predicted ITM% minus the public-implied ITM% (live odds when present, ML otherwise); green ▲ ≥ +5pp, red ▼ ≤ −5pp. See How to Use for the math.
Ask Claude Opus
Questions about the model's predictions for Race 10 · Sat, May 16 · Laurel Park. Powered by Claude Opus 4.7.
Ask anything about the field, the trifecta ticket, or why the model rates a horse the way it does.
Limited to 30 questions per day per visitor. Answers are model-generated and may be incorrect — not betting advice.