Derby 2026
← Race

PP 11

INCREDIBOLT

C '23 · BOLT D'ORO × SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE

Trainer: MOTT RILEY · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

90.1

Speed fig

10.6%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.22
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.01
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.84
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.38
  • Class Par Trend +0.32

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.13
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree -0.07
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.06
  • Starts Last 180d -0.04
  • Days Since Last Race -0.03

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 CNL 1.13m Dirt 1 4.0 100 94 Angled in;kicked clear
2026-01-31 GP 1.06m Dirt 6 25.3 69 97 Rail; retreated
2025-10-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 1.8 93 90 3w;4p upr;rally;cleard
2025-09-28 CD 1m Dirt 1 2.0 85 85 Ins;aim 2w;drove past
2025-08-22 ELP 6f Dirt 4 8.0 73 81 5p;stayed on;one paced