Derby 2026
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PP 6

CRUDE VELOCITY

C '23 · BEAU LIAM × SWEETNSOUR KITTY

Trainer: BAFFERT BOB · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

90.2

Speed fig

29.4%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.29
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.17
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.99
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.61
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.49

Pushing prediction down

  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.24
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.16
  • Days Since Last Race -0.15
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.10
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 SA 6.5f Dirt 1 6.8 103 96 Bpd early;4-3w;drft in
2026-03-07 SA 6.5f Dirt 1 0.3 94 92 Bit slow; on heels 2x