John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 2

YOU AIN'T POPPN

H '20 · BOLT D'ORO × EYEPOPNRUBY

Trainer: BAHENA ISMAEL · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

81.9

Speed fig

67.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.01
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.91
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.51
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.46
  • Today Field Size +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.31
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.17
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.10
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.08
  • Num Career Starts -0.07

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-22 CD 6f Dirt 3 2.5 79 86 Ins;alter 4p1/8;ran on
2026-04-30 CD 6f Dirt 5 7.0 78 91 Stalk 3p;chased;yieldd
2026-03-21 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 3.5 83 89 Press winner; 2-4 path
2025-12-21 GP 6f Dirt 1 0.5 86 85 Rail; 4wd 1/4; up 1/16
2025-06-20 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 5.0 78 89 2w;led 4p1/4;yielded
2024-04-25 GP 1m Turf 5 9.0 65 84 2wd; no response
2023-12-26 GP 1m Dirt 4 5.8 80 96 Stalk winner 2wd; wknd
2023-11-17 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 4.0 87 95 Ins;duel 2nd;outkck1/8
2023-10-15 KEE 6.5f Dirt 4 2.0 89 96 Lagged;6p1/4;rallied
2023-09-23 CD 6f Dirt 1 0.5 90 91 Track 3w;grind;up late