John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 5

YES IT TIZ

F '22 · TIZ THE LAW × ENTANGLE

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

89.8

Speed fig

62.1%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.65
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.58
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.53
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.20
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.81

Pushing prediction down

  • Class Par Trend -0.16
  • Num Career Starts -0.14
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.12
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.10
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 KEE 1.06m Dirt 3 2.5 90 3-2p;press 3p;yielded
2026-03-28 GP 1.06m Turf 6 3.3 86 92 Failed to menace; 3wd
2026-01-24 HOU 1.06m Dirt 3 1.5 89 96 Inside; gaining late
2025-12-07 AQU 1.13m Dirt 4 6.8 92 94 Toss head; nonstarter
2025-10-25 KEE 1.13m Dirt 1 0.5 96 4w2nd;bid;duel;bmp;edg
2025-09-14 CD 1.13m Dirt 1 0.3 93 86 Bid 5p2nd;dueled;bumps
2025-08-22 ELP 1m Turf 2 2.0 86 2w;bid;led;bmp;drft in
2025-07-06 ELP 1.06m Turf 2 2.3 88 83 2p1st;6p upr;rally plc
2025-04-13 GP 7.5f Turf 1 1.5 79 80 3p1/4;8p upper;rallied