John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 3

WRITE OFF JERRY

G '20 · PRACTICAL JOKE × TIMELY

Trainer: MAKER MICHAEL J · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

89.0

Speed fig

38.0%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.30
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.98
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.96
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.80
  • Last Speed Fig +0.59

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.37
  • Days Since Last Race -0.31
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.19
  • Weight Change From Last -0.17
  • Distance Change From Last -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-10 CD 1.13m Turf 1 1.8 89 88 Ins;adv 2wbtw1/4;clear
2026-03-06 FG 1.06m Turf 4 5.8 84 88 Sqzd st;4-5w;evenly
2026-02-07 FG 1.06m Turf 2 0.3 86 88 Loomed 4w;just missed
2026-01-17 FG 1.06m Turf 3 5.3 88 87 Settled; rallied5w
2026-01-02 FG 1.06m Turf 2 0.5 88 83 Trail; 5w1/4; gamely
2025-11-16 CD 1.13m Dirt 6 17.3 80 95 Off inside; no menace
2025-10-11 KEE 1.19m Turf 8 9.0 75 90 Step slw/shy;3w;5-6p2d
2025-08-31 KD 1.31m Turf 10 12.8 81 91 Tight brk;2-3w;rail5/8
2025-08-17 ELP 1.13m Turf 2 1.3 89 92 Bid 4w2nd;needed more
2025-07-19 ELP 1.25m Dirt 2 3.8 89 92 Prmpt 2w;outkk;2nd bst
2025-06-27 CD 1.06m Turf 1 5.5 88 88 2-3p;bid5/16;kick away