John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 4

WORRY BE GONE

F '22 · NOT THIS TIME × SPACE TALK

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

86.2

Speed fig

60.9%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.68
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.69
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.67
  • Today Track Code +0.60
  • Last Speed Fig +0.48

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.42
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.41
  • Is Surface Change From Last -0.14
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.12
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-27 TP 1.50m Dirt 2 7.5 88 88 Stp slw;4-5p2d;no mtch
2026-02-12 TP 1.13m Dirt 1 5.5 88 80 Ins;drew off;riddn out
2025-12-20 TP 1.06m Dirt 7 4.5 75 80 2p-ins;improved 1/4