John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 7

WMA GRAND FINALE

H '19 · KASIH × BABY GRAND CS

Trainer: ASCENCIO JUAN ANTONIO · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

66.0

Speed fig

8.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.98
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.49
  • Today Weight +0.25
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate +0.20
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.65
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.99
  • Today Track Code -1.25
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.10
  • Max Speed Fig Career -1.01

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 HOU 7f Dirt 2 0.1 In cover;3p;late surge
2026-02-28 HOU 7f Dirt 3 7.0 Off-pace;moved up
2026-02-06 HOU 6.5f Dirt 6 14.8 Mid-pk 3w; lacked fnsh
2026-01-23 HOU 6f Dirt 5 13.8 Off slow;by tired foes
2026-01-10 HOU 6.5f Dirt 5 23.8 Unhurried; no threat
2025-03-01 HOU 5.5f Dirt 4 2.8 No speed; big late run
2025-02-09 HOU 6.5f Dirt 7 22.5 Done after 1/2
2025-01-24 HOU 6f Dirt 6 10.5 3-4w;tired stretch
2024-11-15 LS 1m Dirt 11 57.5 Chased early;tired out
2024-11-01 LS 7f Dirt 6 13.3 Slow early;rallied