John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 5

WITS AND WAGERS

M '20 · UNION RAGS × MINES AND MAGIC

Trainer: HERNANDEZ SANDINO R · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

75.4

Speed fig

68.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.55
  • Today Track Code +0.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.25
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.17
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.51
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.42
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.28
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.17
  • Last Speed Fig -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-22 TAM 1.02m Dirt 2 6.5 72 82 Prsd pc;3-4p;no match
2026-02-20 TAM 1.06m Dirt 3 6.0 71 82 Outside;2-3p;improved
2026-01-30 TAM 1.02m Dirt 4 9.0 70 82 Svd gnd;4p2nd;mild gn
2025-11-22 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 5.8 77 81 Blockd/stdy 5/16;rally
2025-11-13 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 1.0 77 81 Off slow;shift out;btw
2025-10-29 CD 1m Dirt 3 4.0 77 79 Off slw/tght;ins;ranon
2025-09-11 CD 1m Dirt 4 10.3 80 84 Ins;shw bid1/16;denied
2025-08-08 DMR 1m Turf 10 11.8 71 84 2wide; never involved
2025-06-07 CD 1m Dirt 2 4.0 78 84 3p;edged place late
2025-05-08 CD 1m Dirt 2 7.5 74 79 Off slow;2-4w;ran on