John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 6

WINTER HOLIDAY

C '23 · FROSTED × TAKINGTIMEOFF

Trainer: HARTY EOIN · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

81.3

Speed fig

28.9%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.12
  • Last Speed Fig +0.55
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.46
  • Today Track Code +0.43
  • Last Finish Pos +0.27

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.27
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.29
  • Is Surface Change From Last -0.17
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.14
  • Today Field Size -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-11 TP 1m Dirt 1 4.3 90 85 Bid 3wd btw2nd;cleared
2026-02-07 TP 6f Dirt 2 4.0 73 84 3-4p;bid;vied;outkickd
2025-12-26 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 2.8 79 84 7p3/16;rallied;lug in