John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 7

WILL TAKE IT

H '21 · TAPIT × LADY TAKE CHARGE

Trainer: STEWART DALLAS · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

88.6

Speed fig

29.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.86
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.09
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.51
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.25
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.83

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.33
  • Today Field Size -0.29
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.27
  • Class Par Trend -0.23
  • Today Track Code -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 OP 1m Dirt 5 6.5 84 99 Rated rail; no fnl bid
2026-02-05 OP 1m Dirt 1 0.1 92 94 Rail bid;brush1/8;game
2025-12-20 FG 1.06m Dirt 6 6.5 89 96 Track; 5w; lost crop
2025-11-30 CD 1m Dirt 8 8.8 90 97 3pbtw;6-7p upr;gave wy
2025-11-01 DMR 1m Dirt 7 14.5 83 105 Bit keen;ins-2wd;3wd
2025-09-27 CD 1m Dirt 6 9.5 84 99 Bobbled/sqzd st;ins-2p
2025-06-29 CD 1m Dirt 1 0.3 100 97 3wbtw;5p upr;grind;bid
2025-05-22 CD 1m Dirt 1 0.5 94 95 3-4p;7p upr;edged past
2025-04-25 KEE 1.13m Dirt 2 3.3 100 100 Ins;aim 2w;drft;2d bst
2025-03-08 FG 1.04m Dirt 1 0.5 86 93 Stp slw;ins;5p1/4;edge