John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 6

WHO DEY

H '21 · LIAM'S MAP × PELIPA

Trainer: DRURY THOMAS JR · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

89.7

Speed fig

30.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.36
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.12
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.47
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.23
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.86

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.04
  • Days Since Last Race -0.45
  • Num Career Starts -0.39
  • Starts Last 180d -0.34
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.26

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-28 CD 1.13m Dirt 4 5.5 95 102 Bmp st;4-5p;up 4th btw
2025-10-25 MVR 1.25m Dirt 1 0.1 90 101 Stlk;dueled;won bob
2025-09-27 CD 1m Dirt 4 4.3 91 99 4-6p;stayed on wllngly
2025-05-16 BTP 1m Dirt 1 4.0 75 85 Split; drove clear
2024-10-26 MVR 1.25m Dirt 1 0.3 97 101 Bmp hard start;gamely
2024-09-18 BTP 6.5f Dirt 1 0.3 88 85 Kept on wide prevailed
2024-08-11 ELP 1m Dirt 3 1.0 104 93 Stumbled st;not enough
2024-06-09 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 2.5 93 97 Led 2w3/4; fought on
2024-05-04 CD 1m Dirt 4 1.5 90 98 Bid; bumped; flattened
2024-04-05 KEE 7f Dirt 2 3.5 95 93 3p;rail grind;up place