Derby 2026
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PP 1

WHERE LUCK LIVES

F '23 · NYQUIST × HOLIDAY SOIREE

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: ROSARIO JOEL

Today's prediction

84.2

Speed fig

24.8%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.28
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.58
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.47
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.27
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.01
  • Days Since Last Race -0.23
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.22
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.19
  • Class Par Trend -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 KEE 6.5f Dirt 1 1.3 93 88 Ins foe-2p; held sway
2025-06-25 CD 5f Dirt 4 1.5 79 84 4-5p;bumped1/8;evenly