John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 11

WHATEVER

G '23 · LOOKIN AT LUCKY × LOVE THIS KITTEN

Trainer: MCGEE PAUL · Jockey: CARRASCO VICTOR R

Today's prediction

65.9

Speed fig

36.3%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Tj Combo Win Rate 365d +0.36
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.25
  • Distance Change From Last +0.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.19
  • Run Style P +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -5.08
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.49
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.24
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.91
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.87

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-17 CD 1.13m Dirt 3 11.0 65 81 Tracked inside; no bid
2026-04-12 KEE 1.06m Dirt 6 19.5 55 83 3p;chasd 5-6p2nd;faded
2026-02-01 FG 6f Dirt 6 11.5 61 84 Bobble brk;no response
2026-01-08 FG 1.06m Turf 7 15.5 69 83 Track3w; retreated
2025-12-04 FG 1.06m Dirt 3 18.0 60 82 Trailed; up for show
2025-10-29 IND 1.04m Dirt 3 4.0 67 71 Stalk4p;bid3/8;falterd
2025-10-08 IND 1.04m Dirt 3 6.3 65 71 Rail;3path str;no bid
2025-09-10 KD 1m Turf 9 32.0 35 77 Veer in brk;off inside