John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 3

WESTERN WARRIOR

G '23 · ESSENTIAL QUALITY × TROPHY GIRL

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

82.6

Speed fig

31.1%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.32
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.71
  • Today Track Code +0.62
  • Last Speed Fig +0.37
  • Class Par Trend +0.33

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.51
  • Today Field Size -0.48
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.32
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.18
  • Tj Combo Starts 365d Log -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 1.13m Dirt 4 4.0 85 91 Between 2p; fatten str
2026-03-26 OP 1m Dirt 1 7.0 84 87 Bid btwn 2p5/16; clear
2026-02-26 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 2.5 82 87 5p5/16;6p upr;rallied
2026-01-02 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 8.0 82 80 Took over; drew out
2025-09-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 13.0 57 78 2p-ins;headd 1/4;caved
2025-08-31 KD 1m Turf 9 14.8 60 76 Stalked3p;yielded lane
2025-08-02 ELP 1m Dirt 8 19.5 68 81 5p; no factor
2025-07-04 ELP 5.5f Dirt 9 9.5 57 81 2p; no factor