John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 10

WEAREBACKYOUNGMAN

G '22 · WIN WIN WIN × COOL MUNNINGS

Trainer: MAKER MICHAEL J · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

75.5

Speed fig

25.3%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.35
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.45
  • Class Par Trend +0.28
  • Weight Change From Last +0.25
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.82
  • Today Field Size -0.78
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.52
  • Today Post Position -0.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 GP 1m Turf 5 4.0 74 87 Inside; weakened 1/8
2026-03-27 GP 7f Dirt 1 1.8 81 82 Brk out bmpd;2p;drving
2025-06-14 IND 1m Turf 5 6.8 76 75 Bmp;stlk3p;gave way
2025-05-09 GP 1.04m Dirt 4 7.5 74 83 Led;svd gnd;wkn
2025-04-05 GP 1m Turf 2 0.3 82 76 Duel;came in;caught lt
2025-03-07 GP 1m Turf 3 2.0 79 80 5p1st;prsd pc;gv wy lt
2025-02-01 GP 7f Dirt 2 8.3 79 87 Pressed winner inside