John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 7

WEAPONIZED

G '22 · GUN RUNNER × LADY TAPIT

Trainer: GARCIA GENARO · Jockey: MENDOZA AMIR

Today's prediction

74.5

Speed fig

38.0%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.49
  • Today Track Code +0.42
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.25
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.21
  • Last Speed Fig +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.83
  • Days Since Last Race -0.42
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.30
  • Today Post Position -0.23
  • Class Par Trend -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-19 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 2.8 80 85 Rated 3p; kept on btwn
2026-01-14 TP 1.06m Dirt 11 17.8 68 84 4-5p; no impact
2025-12-11 TP 1m Dirt 6 10.0 72 86 Never involved
2025-11-20 CD 1m Dirt 3 5.0 82 86 4p;drft in3/16;hld shw
2025-10-23 KEE 1.06m Dirt 8 16.5 69 89 4wd; faded btwn 2nd
2025-09-25 CD 1m Dirt 1 0.1 80 85 4w;bid 1/4;brush;held
2025-08-20 DEL 1m Dirt 3 6.3 80 84 Ins; 3wbid; no close
2025-03-22 GP 1.06m Turf 11 31.8 50 86 Svd gnd;empty