John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 5

WAY TO BE MARIE

M '21 · NOT THIS TIME × WOMAN OF THE WORLD

Trainer: KENNEALLY EDDIE · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

91.0

Speed fig

38.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.79
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.76
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.09
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.94
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.85

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.20
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.13
  • Class Par Trend -0.12
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.10
  • Last Finish Pos -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 KEE 1.50m Turf 3 4.5 98 92 Ins;bid 2w3rd;led;yld
2026-03-21 FG 1.06m Turf 1 0.3 90 90 Setld; 4wbid; dug in
2025-11-08 AQU 1.38m Turf 5 5.0 78 92 2-3path turns;no kick
2025-09-06 KD 1.31m Turf 2 2.8 96 92 Ins;shiftd 4p 1/8;game
2025-07-10 SAR 1m Turf 5 1.0 88 92 2-3p turns;5p1/4;gain
2025-05-17 PIM 1.06m Turf 5 7.3 94 92 3wd turns; gave way
2025-03-22 FG 1.06m Turf 1 1.3 94 91 Svd grnd;rail bid;clrd
2025-02-15 FG 1.06m Turf 3 1.3 91 93 Prss 2w;duel;yield btw
2024-12-28 FG 1.06m Dirt 2 5.3 84 86 Shifted 5w; 2nd best
2024-11-08 AQU 1m Turf 3 3.3 89 88 Chased ins; kept on