John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 11

WASSAIL

F '22 · WAR FRONT × WONDERMENT

Trainer: DELACOUR ARNAUD · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

77.2

Speed fig

12.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.79
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.35
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.22
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.21
  • Today Track Code +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.62
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.43
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.43
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.41
  • Today Post Position -0.36

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-15 TAM 1m Turf 5 4.0 75 81 Bmpst; btw;5w;no close
2026-03-28 TAM 1m Turf 5 9.8 76 81 Bid3/8;2-3p;flatten
2025-12-22 DVL 1.18m Dirt 3 1.5
2025-12-13 DVL 7.5f Dirt 4 2.5
2025-11-21 CHY 8.0f Dirt 8 5.3
2025-05-22 LCH 1.12m Turf 4 3.0
2025-05-06 CHY 8.0f Turf 6 3.8
2025-04-06 LCH 1.12m Turf 4 7.3
2024-12-28 DVL 1.18m Dirt 1 4.0
2024-11-23 CHY 1.12m Dirt 5 1.5