John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 4

WAR MUNNY

G '23 · MUNNINGS × WAR BABY

Trainer: VANCE THOMAS D · Jockey: LANERIE C J

Today's prediction

71.5

Speed fig

56.2%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Last Speed Fig +0.33
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.20
  • Num Career Starts +0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.18
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.59
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.41
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.39
  • Distance Change From Last -0.22
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 CD 6f Dirt 5 3.8 78 84 Ins;6p upr;no bid
2026-03-27 OP 6f Dirt 6 9.5 68 85 Ins;9p lane;pass tired
2026-03-08 OP 6f Dirt 8 18.5 60 92 Slow st;rail;no menace
2026-02-14 OP 6f Dirt 9 10.0 77 88 Bump btwn st; trail 2p
2025-12-27 OP 1m Dirt 8 17.5 62 82 Little impact inside
2025-12-12 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.5 73 77 Rail bid; edged clear
2025-11-05 CD 6f Dirt 3 4.5 74 75 Brsh st;ins;rail rally