John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 4

WACO

G '22 · MAXIMUS MISCHIEF × BEAUTIFUL TREASURE

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ASMUSSEN KEITH J

Today's prediction

75.2

Speed fig

44.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.49
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.36
  • Distance Change From Last +0.20
  • Is Lone Speed +0.15
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.30
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.37
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.29
  • Last Speed Fig -0.21
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 OP 6f Dirt 8 8.5 69 86 Pace rail-3p; yielded
2026-04-04 OP 6f Dirt 4 5.5 77 86 3p;angle6p lane;evenly
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 6 6.8 77 90 4-3w turn; little left
2026-02-07 OP 6f Dirt 8 7.8 71 90 Press btwn3p;yield str
2025-06-11 CD 6f Dirt 8 13.0 66 88 Stalk 4p;faded btw 1/4
2025-04-11 OP 6f Dirt 5 6.5 79 90 Vied btwn;duel;faded
2025-03-21 OP 6f Dirt 3 3.3 80 85 Got out 3/8; mildly
2025-02-17 OP 6f Dirt 3 5.0 78 94 Checkd rail5/16;up;3rd
2025-01-26 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.3 86 88 Floated 4w;drew clear
2025-01-04 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.3 82 82 Swept up 4w;lasted