John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 7

VOW TO RESILIENCY

F '22 · NOT THIS TIME × VOW TO RECOVER

Trainer: DAMATO PHILIP · Jockey: ROSARIO JOEL

Today's prediction

79.4

Speed fig

6.3%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.35
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.55
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.35
  • Today Track Code +0.35
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.31

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.92
  • Today Field Size -0.67
  • Today Weight -0.51
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.45
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.34

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-05 SA 1m Turf 2 0.5 83 81 Traffic2nd;4w5/16;bpd
2026-03-08 SA 1m Turf 3 2.5 79 81 Ins-2w;aim4wd;outkickd
2025-02-13 GP 1m Turf 2 3.8 82 79 Checked 5/8; 6wd 3/16
2025-01-08 GP 1.06m Turf 4 1.8 74 Bump st; 3wd far turn
2024-11-23 GP 1.04m Dirt 10 12.5 66 78 Check early; 6wd far
2024-10-13 BAQ 1.06m Turf 5 5.3 66 74 Off 1/2 slw; no rally
2024-09-15 BAQ 1.06m Turf 5 4.5 75 77 Off 1/2 slw; no kick