John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 10

VIVALDI

g '21 · MENDELSSOHN × CHANNEL LADY

Trainer: BROWN CHAD C · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

77.4

Speed fig

24.7%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.98
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.26
  • Num Career Starts +0.14
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.14
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.61
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.40
  • Today Post Position -0.40
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.38
  • Days Since Last Race -0.29

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-09-10 KD 1m Turf 2 3.8 71 85 Rally btwn;secured 2nd
2025-08-11 ELP 1.06m Turf 7 7.5 78 86 3w;urged 2nd;no respns
2025-06-08 CD 1.13m Turf 2 4.3 77 87 3pbtw5/16;swung6p lane
2025-05-02 CD 1.13m Turf 2 1.0 91 87 Slipped thru; willing
2025-03-07 TAM 1.13m Turf 2 1.3 78 81 Bid 2w; led; 2nd best
2023-10-28 KEE 1.06m Turf 5 1.8 70 81 Broke in;bore wide 1st
2023-09-09 KD 1m Turf 5 7.0 67 75 Angl widest str;mve up