John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 6

VIRGIN COLADA

F '22 · MORE THAN READY × EPISCOPAL

Trainer: MAKER MICHAEL J · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

87.0

Speed fig

30.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.86
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.67
  • Today Track Code +0.58
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.57
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.52

Pushing prediction down

  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.13
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.11
  • Today Field Size -0.09
  • Num Career Starts -0.09
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 KEE 1.50m Turf 92 Pull;bolt 3/4;walk off
2026-02-25 TP 1.25m Dirt 2 4.0 85 88 Jostled btw/stdy st;3p
2026-01-10 TP 1.25m Dirt 1 0.8 89 88 2-4w;edged past late
2025-11-07 CD 1m Turf 6 3.5 74 86 Keen 2p;6p1/4;no bid
2025-08-31 SAR 1.13m Turf 5 2.5 76 83 3-4p;5p1/4;mild gain
2025-07-05 SAR 1.13m Turf 6 9.0 81 94 Bumped st; no kick
2025-04-27 AQU 1m Turf 3 1.8 90 85 Chased 2-3w; belatedly
2024-11-01 DMR 1m Turf 13 9.5 87 93 Bothrd;bp/forcd out1st
2024-10-06 BAQ 1.06m Turf 2 2.5 75 84 4w upper; closed well
2024-08-28 SAR 1.06m Turf 2 0.5 75 84 Rated 2p;5p1/4;rallied