John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 7

VINNO RONNIE

F '23 · VINO ROSSO × ELUSIVE RAVEN

Trainer: VANCE THOMAS D · Jockey: LANERIE C J

Today's prediction

66.4

Speed fig

37.6%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.33
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.15
  • Today Track Code +0.14
  • Speed Fig Trend +0.14
  • Distance Change From Last +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.67
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.35
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.19
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.03
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.62

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-16 OP 1.06m Dirt 7 16.5 63 81 Trailed 4p; no threat
2026-04-03 OP 1.06m Dirt 8 15.0 57 76 Press 2p; yielded 1/4
2026-03-19 OP 6f Dirt 3 3.8 66 77 2-3p; cue5/16; kept on
2026-02-27 OP 6f Dirt 7 9.8 55 77 Bumped st; bump6p7/16
2026-02-08 OP 6f Dirt 9 19.0 54 82 Broke out;btwn 2p turn
2026-01-02 OP 6f Dirt 5 4.0 73 84 Traffic 1/4;dropped in
2025-08-16 PRM 5f Dirt 1 0.1 63 60 Pace;widened;held drv
2025-07-18 PRM 5f Dirt 2 3.0 59 70 Vied;clr;no match late
2025-07-03 PRM 4.5f Dirt 2 5.3 49 68 Vied 1/4p; second best