John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 7

VERY CONNECTED

C '23 · CONNECT × C J'S GAL

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER

Today's prediction

83.5

Speed fig

24.2%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.25
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.24
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.81
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.71
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.62

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.40
  • Today Field Size -0.27
  • Today Post Position -0.12
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.10
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 1.06m Dirt 2 3.5 84 91 Ins;3-4p2nd;willingly
2026-02-14 KAR 8.0f Dirt 8 12.5
2025-12-20 FG 1.06m Dirt 5 2.5 82 93 Trailed most
2025-11-29 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 3.5 88 97 Saved grnd;rail rally
2025-10-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 4.0 88 90 Bump st;2p;5p1/4;rally
2025-09-21 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 0.3 74 85 2-3p;6p1/4;rally;dueld
2025-08-31 KD 1m Turf 3 3.8 73 76 4p;herded7p1/4;rallied
2025-08-09 CNL 7f Dirt 5 15.0 65 77 Climbing;checkd ins3/8