John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 6

VERSED

G '23 · VOLATILE × CAYUSE

Trainer: BROWNFIELD CLAUDE · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

72.2

Speed fig

39.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.29
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.20
  • Days Since Last Race +0.20
  • Today Field Size +0.15
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.94
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.33
  • Distance Change From Last -0.30
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.30
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.30

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 7f Dirt 3 6.0 70 86 Stalked ins; held show
2026-04-08 KEE 7f Dirt 5 12.8 71 90 3-4p; no factor
2026-03-14 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 0.5 82 82 Brsh;4p;bid 3w3/16;hld
2026-01-21 TP 6f Dirt 3 0.1 77 81 3w;5p upr;rally;missed
2025-12-20 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 0.1 78 76 Stalked 3p;grind;up
2025-11-23 CD 1m Dirt 2 1.3 70 77 Brshs;2-6p;kept at bay
2025-10-29 CD 1.06m Dirt 5 5.5 63 75 Off slow;3-4p;chsd;yld
2025-10-01 IND 1m Turf 4 9.0 56 72 Awk;stlk btw;gave way
2025-09-09 IND 1m Turf 2 3.5 64 73 Stalked2p;rallied5/16
2025-08-16 IND 1.04m Dirt 3 3.5 56 68 Bid;brsh3/16;jost;sted