John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 7

VELVET VORTEX

F '22 · COMPLEXITY × SWEET PISTOL

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

85.8

Speed fig

38.0%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.23
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.06
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.81
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.70
  • Last Speed Fig +0.47

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.22
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.17
  • Today Field Size -0.16
  • Max Trouble Last 5 -0.15
  • Today Post Position -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-12 GP 1m Dirt 2 5.8 88 90 Vie 2wd; 2nd best
2025-12-28 GP 7f Dirt 6 18.3 70 90 Off rail;ins turn;stop
2025-06-05 SAR 1m Dirt 1 2.5 90 89 Stumbled; bumped st
2025-04-07 KEE 6.5f Dirt 4 3.8 86 86 Chsd ins;3-2p;miss plc
2025-02-15 FG 6f Dirt 1 0.8 95 84 2w;bid;dueld;edge past