John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 10

VASY

C '23 · SPACE BLUES × BEAUTIFUL ENDING

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

84.5

Speed fig

21.1%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.89
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.65
  • Last Speed Fig +0.55
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.51
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.50

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.92
  • Today Post Position -0.47
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.20
  • Today Track Code -0.19
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 KEE 1.06m Turf 3 0.8 87 92 2w;4w1/4;rally;outkckd
2026-02-28 GP 1m Turf 1 0.3 83 92 Pocket;angled;bid;up
2026-01-25 GP 7.5f Turf 1 0.3 81 84 Chckd ins1st;angld 1/4
2025-11-30 CD 5f Turf 5 3.0 77 87 Stalked ins; evenly
2025-10-12 KEE 5.5f Turf 4 1.0 78 84 3p;floated 1/8;stay on
2025-09-10 KD 6.5f Turf 2 1.0 73 80 Bid3p1/4;led;outkicked