John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 7

USHA

F '22 · TIZ THE LAW × ANIMAL APPEAL

Trainer: BAFFERT BOB · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

93.4

Speed fig

50.1%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.57
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.47
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.62
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.15
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.04

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.17
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.16
  • Num Career Starts -0.14
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.10
  • Today Field Size -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-02 CD 7f Dirt 3 4.0 95 101 Track ins;chased evnly
2025-12-28 SA 7f Dirt 1 5.3 102 98 Stdy erly;bid btwn;clr
2025-10-18 KEE 7f Dirt 7 11.0 83 97 Rush;vie ins pair;fade
2025-09-05 DMR 6.5f Dirt 1 5.3 100 95 Kick away turn;handily
2025-07-27 DMR 6.5f Dirt 1 11.5 99 90 5deep;duel outs;crushd
2024-10-25 BAQ 6f Dirt 2 3.0 77 81 Out;2p turn;outfinishd
2024-08-31 DMR 6f Dirt 3 10.5 78 88 Vied insd;led;gave way
2024-08-18 DMR 5.5f Dirt 3 4.3 77 88 Stmbld;clear;shied1/8
2024-07-27 DMR 5.5f Dirt 2 4.3 77 87 Fracts;3deep;chs3-2wd