Derby 2026
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PP 1

USHA

F '22 · TIZ THE LAW × ANIMAL APPEAL

Trainer: BAFFERT BOB · Jockey: HERNANDEZ JUAN J

Today's prediction

91.9

Speed fig

44.3%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.3 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +2.58
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +1.52
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.99
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.68
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.58

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.23
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.15
  • Starts Last 180d -0.05
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.04

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-12-28 SA 7f Dirt 1 5.3 102 98 Stdy erly;bid btwn;clr
2025-10-18 KEE 7f Dirt 7 11.0 83 97 Rush;vie ins pair;fade
2025-09-05 DMR 6.5f Dirt 1 5.3 100 95 Kick away turn;handily
2025-07-27 DMR 6.5f Dirt 1 11.5 99 90 5deep;duel outs;crushd
2024-10-25 BAQ 6f Dirt 2 3.0 77 81 Out;2p turn;outfinishd
2024-08-31 DMR 6f Dirt 3 10.5 78 88 Vied insd;led;gave way
2024-08-18 DMR 5.5f Dirt 3 4.3 77 88 Stmbld;clear;shied1/8
2024-07-27 DMR 5.5f Dirt 2 4.3 77 87 Fracts;3deep;chs3-2wd