John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 8

UR DESIRE

F '23 · CUPID × DESIRED EFFECT

Trainer: SCHULTZ LINDSAY · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

75.0

Speed fig

17.2%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.34
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.24
  • Last Speed Fig +0.22
  • Last Finish Pos +0.20
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -0.76
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.73
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.47
  • Today Post Position -0.40
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.23

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 1.0 80 83 Bid btw 3w;best late
2026-02-28 FG 1.06m Turf 6 11.8 74 77 Tight; stdy; chkd
2026-01-31 FG 1.06m Turf 10 12.5 66 77 Pinch; brush1/4
2026-01-03 FG 1.06m Turf 4 5.0 84 77 Ins; 4w; out-finished
2025-10-26 BAQ 6f Dirt 4 10.8 64 82 Bumped brk;3-4p turn