John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 4

UPTURNED BRIM

G '21 · COMPETITIVE EDGE × NEGOTIABLE

Trainer: CANO WILLIAMS · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

79.6

Speed fig

46.4%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.38
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.56
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.31
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.24
  • Distance Change From Last +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.39
  • Today Field Size -0.14
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.10
  • Quirin Speed Points -0.09
  • Num Career Starts -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-15 CD 6f Dirt 3 5.5 85 90 Vied outs winner;yield
2026-04-25 CD 6f Dirt 2 2.0 82 84 Bmpd;track 4p;rallied
2026-04-14 IND 6f Dirt 3 6.0 76 84 Pressed;5p turn;no bid
2026-02-26 FG 5.5f Turf 7 8.5 73 87 Saved ground;no rally
2026-01-11 FG 5f Turf 3 3.0 79 86 Tip 5w; late rally
2026-01-02 FG 6f Dirt 2 6.3 78 85 Stalk3w; no match
2025-12-19 FG 6f Dirt 1 0.1 82 85 Bid 3/16; duel; bob
2025-12-04 FG 6f Dirt 2 6.8 79 84 Close up 3w; no match
2025-08-14 EVD 5f Turf 2 4.5 65 77 Bumped; crowded start
2025-07-18 EVD 5f Dirt 5 2.0 70 77 Bid3/8;loomed;wknd
2025-06-29 LAD 5f Turf 5 6.3 66 77 Close up; outkicked