John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 3

UNTAMED MOMENT

F '22 · OUTWORK × WILD MOMENT

Trainer: FAWKES DAVID · Jockey: LANERIE C J

Today's prediction

85.5

Speed fig

34.4%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.75
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.25
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.03
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.84
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.83

Pushing prediction down

  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.29
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.21
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.20
  • Distance Change From Last -0.12
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 6f Dirt 3 2.3 90 Bmp early;4-6p;bmp str
2026-03-22 OP 1m Dirt 1 2.3 90 91 Press 2p; bid5/16; clr
2026-03-07 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 6.5 81 91 Moved inside;flattened
2026-02-08 OP 6f Dirt 3 0.5 89 91 Slow st;btw3p1/4;6p1/8
2025-12-20 OP 6f Dirt 2 0.3 91 91 Inside;long duel;miss
2025-08-16 ELP 6f Dirt 1 0.8 85 85 2p;aim btw3/16;bid;edg