John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 7

TUXCA

F '24 · CATALINA CRUISER × CANDYCREAM

Trainer: TORRES ERICK ALEXANDER · Jockey: GOMEZ AGUSTIN

Today's prediction

64.5

Speed fig

28.9%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Field Size Change From Last +0.16
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.09
  • Quirin Speed Points +0.07
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d +0.07
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.07

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.65
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -1.25
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.12
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.86
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.78

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-29 CD 4.5f Dirt 6 16.3 66 82 Off slow;3p1/4;shft in