John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 4

TURKISH PISTACHIO

F '23 · CATHOLIC BOY × SPIN CONTROL

Trainer: DAVID CARLOS A · Jockey: MENDOZA AMIR

Today's prediction

69.6

Speed fig

41.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Weight Change From Last +0.26
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.22
  • Today Field Size +0.18
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.16
  • Today Track Code +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.75
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.48
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.64
  • Last Speed Fig -0.48
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.40

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-23 KEE 6.5f Dirt 8 15.8 58 79 Stalk ins;wknd;left ld
2026-03-19 GP 6f Dirt 7 18.5 52 80 Awkward start; 4wd
2026-03-01 TAM 6f Dirt 6 13.5 62 82 Outside;4p;tired
2026-01-29 GP 6.5f Dirt 1 3.8 85 81 Inside;clear turn;drvg
2026-01-04 GP 6f Dirt 2 1.3 76 81 4wd;left lead;led late
2025-12-07 GP 6f Dirt 2 2.0 70 75 Head turn; stumble st
2025-11-16 GP 7f Dirt 3 4.0 68 80 Pace 2w;yielded late
2025-10-23 KEE 1m Turf 12 31.3 45 77 Saved ground;faded 2nd
2025-10-10 KEE 6.5f Dirt 6 8.0 72 87 Stumbled/bump st;3-5p
2025-09-12 BAQ 6f Dirt 4 4.5 71 74 2-3p turn;5p3/16;wknd