John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 12

TULIP

F '23 · FLAMEAWAY × DANCINGINHERDREAMS

Trainer: WALDEN WILLIAM · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

75.1

Speed fig

32.9%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.08
  • Today Track Code +0.40
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.31
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.29
  • Weight Change From Last +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.83
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.71
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.61
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.45
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.44

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 KEE 1m Turf 3 3.3 74 81 Bt slow;3p;7p1/4;rally