John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 5

TRULY LEGIT

G '22 · AUTHENTIC × JORDAN'S HENNY

Trainer: TOMLINSON MICHAEL A · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

76.8

Speed fig

59.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.28
  • Today Field Size +0.23
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.20
  • Is Lone Speed +0.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.39
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.36
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.15
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.12
  • Trainer Meet Win Rate -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-09 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 3.0 77 88 Ins;shook clear;tired
2026-03-19 FG 1m Dirt 2 1.5 78 85 Met bid 1/4;repelled
2025-12-06 TP 6.5f Dirt 9 10.8 65 87 Well placed empty turn
2025-10-10 KEE 7f Dirt 3 6.5 77 88 Ins foe-2p; gave way
2025-09-14 CD 1.06m Dirt 5 4.3 80 84 2w;bid 3/8;led;gave wy
2025-07-26 ELP 1.13m Turf 9 8.0 75 85 Press 2w;vied btw;wknd
2025-06-25 CD 1m Turf 7 6.8 75 89 Slight steady 1/8th p
2025-05-03 TDN 1m Dirt 5 25.3 54 84 Through after half
2025-03-22 MVR 1m Dirt 1 1.8 82 82 Pressd;led;clr;lasted
2025-02-26 TAM 1.02m Dirt 3 8.0 74 85 3p;bid btwn1/4;stay 3d