John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 6

TRES SOLES

G '20 · JUSTIFY × CHOCOLATE SOUFFLE

Trainer: STINSON WILLIAM JR · Jockey: SAEZ GABRIEL

Today's prediction

80.2

Speed fig

40.7%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.74
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.36
  • Today Field Size +0.24
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.20
  • Today Track Code +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.25
  • Today Post Position -0.09
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.08
  • Tj Combo Win Rate 365d -0.07
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.06

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-29 CD 1m Dirt 2 8.5 80 84 Trck 4p;up plc3/16;hld
2026-04-11 KEE 1.13m Dirt 5 14.5 72 88 2-4w;vied show;yielded
2026-03-06 TP 1m Dirt 3 3.3 77 86 4-2p;5-6p3/16;stayd on
2026-02-18 TP 1m Dirt 2 1.8 85 83 3-2p;ranon btw;vie plc
2026-01-08 TP 1.06m Dirt 2 0.5 77 86 2wd;rail rally;missed
2025-12-19 TP 1m Dirt 2 1.5 79 86 Outside rally for 2nd
2025-12-05 TP 1.13m Dirt 3 2.3 86 86 Rallied; missed 2nd
2025-11-28 CD 1m Dirt 7 7.0 73 83 Vied 3w-4p;faded btwn
2025-10-19 KEE 1.06m Dirt 8 28.3 58 88 Chk btw erly;3-4p;tire
2025-09-28 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 2.3 82 83 Pressed 2w;drove clear
2025-09-06 KD 1.31m Turf 10 18.8 73 91 3-4w btwn 3/8;faded