John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 1

TRAPPED

F '23 · TACITUS × EAST COAST SWING

Trainer: FORSTER GRANT T · Jockey: GRAHAM J

Today's prediction

75.1

Speed fig

39.0%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.35
  • Today Post Position +0.32
  • Distance Change From Last +0.24
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.24
  • Today Field Size +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.09
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.46
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.39
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.23
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 KEE 7f Dirt 7 14.5 70 85 Vied ins foe;wknd upr
2026-02-27 FG 6f Dirt 1 2.8 79 83 Trkd5w; veerd in; held
2025-09-17 CD 6f Dirt 5 8.5 63 82 4-2wbtw;ins5/16;mvd up