John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 2

TRAJECT

F '23 · RUNHAPPY × WIDTH

Trainer: ORTIZ JOHN ALEXANDER · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

68.2

Speed fig

48.6%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.40
  • Today Post Position +0.28
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.22
  • Class Par Trend +0.21
  • Num Career Starts +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.69
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.37
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.72
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.65
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.51

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-23 KEE 6.5f Dirt 7 14.0 60 79 Off slow; saved groud
2026-04-03 KEE 7f Dirt 10 18.0 65 85 4p; never involved
2026-03-07 TP 6.5f Dirt 7 15.0 59 86 Bmp aftr st;saved grnd
2025-12-19 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 4.8 84 71 2p duel; drew off
2025-11-01 CD 6f Dirt 9 9.5 61 76 Saved ground;no impact