John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Belmont at The Big A R10

PP 8

TOUGH CRITIC

g '23 · CARAVAGGIO × THATCHIT

Trainer: WEAVER GEORGE · Jockey: FRANCO MANUEL

Today's prediction

76.2

Speed fig

29.2%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.17
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.48
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.26
  • Is Lone Speed +0.17
  • Today Purse Log10 +0.11

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.45
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.44
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.37
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.34
  • Days Since Last Race -0.33

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-09-06 CNL 1.06m Turf 4 6.0 78 79 Mildly; outkicked 3rd
2025-08-16 SAR 5.5f Turf 4 11.8 68 88 Hit gate st; tired
2025-06-18 ASC 5f Turf 11 5.5
2025-04-24 KEE 5.5f Turf 1 1.3 76 84 Up