PP 4
TOUGH CATCH
C '22 · COMPLEXITY × TRY TO CATCH HER
Trainer: STEWART DALLAS · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L
Today's prediction
89.4
Speed fig
60.3%
In-the-money
Last 10 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 76.4 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- BRIS Prime Power +5.91
- Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.03
- Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.01
- Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.02
- Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.93
Pushing prediction down
- Num Career Starts -0.32
- Speed Fig Consistency -0.31
- Today Purse Log10 -0.16
- Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.16
- Tj Combo Win Rate 365d -0.14
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | OP | 6f | Dirt | 6 | 6.0 | 90 | 100 | Ins;cued3/8;faded lane |
| 2026-03-14 | OP | 6f | Dirt | 2 | 2.0 | 91 | 100 | 3w bid;no mtch;held2nd |
| 2026-02-15 | OP | 6f | Dirt | 1 | 2.5 | 94 | — | 4p upr;drft6p1/8;clear |
| 2025-11-24 | MVR | 6f | Dirt | 2 | 1.8 | 96 | 94 | Chase btwn4-3p; ran on |
| 2025-10-22 | KEE | 6f | Dirt | 4 | 1.0 | 92 | 96 | Bump;2w btw;lack punch |
| 2025-01-18 | FG | 1.06m | Dirt | 13 | 24.0 | 60 | 97 | 3p;5pbtw upr;brsh/wknd |
| 2024-12-21 | FG | 6f | Dirt | 1 | 1.0 | 90 | 93 | Prompt 2w;cleared;held |
| 2024-11-30 | CD | 6.5f | Dirt | 2 | 5.3 | 87 | 89 | Stdy;2p;btw;ang;2d bst |
| 2024-10-26 | KEE | 6f | Dirt | 2 | 0.5 | 92 | 91 | Ins;altered out1/8;bid |
| 2024-09-02 | SAR | 7f | Dirt | 8 | 19.3 | 71 | 97 | Bmp brk;4-5p trn;6p1/4 |