John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 12

TOTALLY JUSTIFIED

F '22 · JUSTIFY × OUTSTANDING

Trainer: MEAH ANNA M · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

83.4

Speed fig

23.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.12
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.08
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.97
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.81
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.72

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.23
  • Today Post Position -0.31
  • Days Since Last Race -0.25
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.25
  • Num Career Starts -0.23

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-12-28 SA 1.25m Turf 6 2.5 86 94 3wd;3-4wd;evenly late
2025-10-24 KEE 1m Turf 6 4.0 86 89 2w;bid up;bmp;fade btw
2025-09-10 KD 1.31m Turf 9 6.5 87 88 Stalk 3-4p; faded lane
2025-08-09 SAR 1.19m Turf 5 3.5 96 89 Ins;headed3/16;tired
2025-07-05 SAR 1.13m Turf 7 12.8 77 94 Tracked 2p; tired
2025-05-31 CD 1.13m Turf 2 0.5 92 88 Stalk 2w;led upr;cght
2025-04-08 KEE 1m Turf 5 7.8 85 89 2w;brushd btw;gave way
2024-11-01 DMR 1m Turf 8 5.5 92 93 Bpd1st;box1/4;bpd uppr
2024-10-04 KEE 1.06m Turf 2 0.1 80 84 Bmp;ins;bid 2w1/4;nail
2024-08-28 SAR 1.06m Turf 1 0.5 76 84 Out;2p turns;lead3/16