John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 5

TORRE EIFFEL

G '22 · CUPID × LOST BADGE

Trainer: ARANHA JOSE LUIZ · Jockey: SAEZ GABRIEL

Today's prediction

74.8

Speed fig

29.0%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.88
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.38
  • Num Career Starts +0.24
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.20
  • Distance Change From Last +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.15
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.51
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.28
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.26
  • Today Field Size -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-10 CD 7f Dirt 7 10.0 74 87 4p;chsd 5-6p1/8;yield
2026-04-10 KEE 6f Dirt 8 14.8 62 94 Bump st;stalk ins;wknd
2025-12-18 TP 1.06m Dirt 7 11.5 74 86 Never factored
2025-11-30 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 2.0 82 88 Stalk 3p;chsd;lost plc
2025-10-30 CD 1m Dirt 5 10.0 78 90 Ins;faded btwn upper