John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 8

TOP GUN TOMMY

G '18 · MINESHAFT × HILLBILLY KITTEN

Trainer: SHORTER AARON · Jockey: TORRES CRISTIAN A

Today's prediction

81.9

Speed fig

52.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.76
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.06
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.77
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.70
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.65

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.35
  • Today Track Code -0.18
  • Quirin Speed Points -0.17
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.17
  • Run Style E -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-23 OP 6f Dirt 4 7.5 78 91 3-2p;cued3/8;yield1/8
2026-03-27 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.0 87 87 Bump st; 3-2p; kick on
2026-02-28 OP 6f Dirt 1 6.8 95 89 Duel 2p;kicked clear
2026-02-05 OP 6f Dirt 2 0.3 94 90 Bump st;3p;duel; repel
2025-11-27 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 9.8 77 87 Ins winner;dueld;faded
2025-11-12 CD 6f Dirt 3 2.0 82 88 Ins winner-3p; yielded
2025-09-27 CD 6f Dirt 1 0.8 86 86 2w;cleard7/16;held swy
2025-09-11 CD 6f Dirt 9 13.5 71 89 5-4w;ins 5/16;no impct
2025-08-02 ELP 6f Dirt 4 7.0 84 90 Ins winner;no mtch3/16
2025-06-21 CD 6f Dirt 2 0.5 84 88 3p;duel stretch;repel